Confidence Limiting Seasonal Rainfall: Their Value in Kenya Agriculture

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1970
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In East Africa, agricultural production dependent on rainfall, and mean rainfall data are available. Manning (1950, 1956) has demonstrated, however, that mean rainfall is not a good guide to agricultural potential and that variability of rainfall must also be considered. Manning (1956) establishing the asymmetry of frequency distributions for monthly rainfall totals, and developing and verified for some Uganda sites a procedure for evaluating confidence limits for rainfall expected during the conventional 'twenty-day' periods, using a logarithanic transformation of the skew data (Manning, 1960'. This procedure is assessed by the rainfall pattern at Muguga in neighboring Kenya.
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East African Agricultural And Forestry Journal, 6, p. 81-86